Lesson 03: Rationality and Rebalancing Systems (Smart Investments)
Note: This book (“Investimentos Inteligentes” by Gustavo Cerbasi) does not have an official English translation and heavily references the Brazilian financial market. However, its core concepts on asset allocation, rationality, and systemic rebalancing are universal.
The fourth book I decided to read covers how to allocate the money that, after building a good foundation with the previous readings, is left over.
If I were to summarize it: the good investor must act with rationality and invest in what they know and understand.
Any form of multiplying wealth is an investment, but the result depends much more on the degree of attention you dedicate to it than simply having it in your portfolio.
The Mechanics of Rebalancing
The financial market tests our patience daily. Long periods of prosperity should raise concern, not celebrations.
The golden rule, according to the author, is to cultivate the habit of taking profits, rebalancing the portfolio when a certain investment yields much more than the others and concentrates your risk too much. It is precisely because of this need for mechanical coldness that the best approach is to delegate this decision to logical systems — creating well-defined rebalancing rules and not being guided by the emotion generated by the financial market.
The Math of Choice: Fixed Income and Stocks
Information is the pillar of success, and Cerbasi brings some points on asset efficiency:
- The trap of Funds vs. CDBs (Certificates of Deposit): Investment funds often have semi-annual tax collections (known in Brazil as come-cotas), while CDBs are only taxed upon redemption or at the end of the contract. For larger contributions, the CDB allows the “unbitten” money to continue generating compound interest more efficiently.
- Stocks and the P/E Ratio: Those who invest in stocks should focus on the continuity of the company’s profits, reading the business reports instead of worrying about the daily fluctuations of the home broker. The Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio measures in how many years you will receive what you invested. Mature companies operate with a P/E between 6 and 10. Below 5, they are generally great opportunities; above 10, they are expensive.
- Focus and Limit: Do not invest in more than 10 to 12 different companies. Diversify sectors, mixing “value companies” (greater stability and dividend distribution) with “growth companies” (which retain profits to expand), but keep a number that you are humanly capable of tracking.
The Professional Hedge
One of the most powerful reflections in the book goes beyond the stock market:
“Whoever grows in their career already building a second alternative career is, by far, with much greater inner peace than someone who focuses completely on a single position.”
Knowing what to do in crises involves having options. True diversification is not just buying different stocks, but investing in human capital. Dedicating hours of silent study to strategic career transitions works as a hedge (protection) for your primary professional life. Where there are options, there is rationality.
The Ultimate Goal
Money is only useful if it is aligned with your life planning. For me, the goals are clear: the short term finances the routine and small recharge trips; the medium term allows for deeper explorations around the world; and the long term must guarantee the mathematical conditions for these goals to continue being executed, even if I live past 100 years.
As the book warns: “Investing is nothing if you don’t know what to do with the harvest.”
Establish your allocation rules before investing. Write these rules down and be faithful to them.